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Panthers at Oilers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
4
Final/2OTTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in double overtime, Brad Marchand scoring at 8:05. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Panthers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 8:05 of the second overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.0 to 4.3; shots on goal were FLA 42, EDM 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 42 of 46 (.913), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor McDavid (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
FLAFLA211214050814542
EDMEDM314091901301446

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(13)PPG
    N. Schmidt (7), E. Rodrigues (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:07
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(6)
    V. Arvidsson (5), E. Bouchard (13)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:39
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(7)
    C. McDavid (23), L. Draisaitl (19)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:19
  4. FLA
    S. Jones(4)
    E. Luostarinen (10), N. Schmidt (8)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:37
  5. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(10)PPG
    C. McDavid (24), E. Bouchard (14)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:37

2nd period

  1. FLA
    D. Kulikov(2)
    C. Verhaeghe (11), S. Jones (5)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:23
  2. FLA
    B. Marchand(6)SHG
    A. Lundell (8)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:09

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(8)
    J. Walman (7), C. McDavid (25)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:42

2OT overtime

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(7)
    A. Lundell (9)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +52 ptsVideo
    5-4
    8:05

Penalties

FLA 16 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:37EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 2:54FLAAaron Ekblad · Holding the stickdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 3:32EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 8:49EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 8:49FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 12:13FLASam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Stuart Skinner2 min
  • 12:13FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 12:13EDMTrent Frederic · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:46FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 15:13FLASeth Jones · Holdingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:41EDMEvan Bouchard · Cross checkingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

2nd

  • 11:06FLANiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 17:56EDMEvan Bouchard · Cross checkingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 19:11FLACarter Verhaeghe · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2OT 8:05 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.26T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.26E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.22E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.12C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 5.0 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
4.35 G
All situations
4 G5.0
3.63 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 136 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA41%59%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.25 – 4.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
42
Shots on goal
46
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/6
16
Penalty minutes
12
60
Hits
39
15
Blocked shots
24
17
Giveaways
23
12
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD112+320.34222—34:35
5A. EkbladD000-120.23522—33:29
42G. ForslingD000-130.11330—33:13
13S. ReinhartC000-260.4900010030:37
16A. BarkovC000-330.153105630:30
77N. MikkolaD000-120.27124—29:17
23C. VerhaegheC011030.29302026:39
7D. KulikovD101+230.06520—23:40
15A. LundellC022+340.271003323:22
19M. TkachukL000000.18104—22:40
27E. LuostarinenC011010.14510022:15
9S. BennettC101+120.364026722:12
63B. MarchandL202+371.07200—22:00
88N. SchmidtD022010.00210—21:51
17E. RodriguesC011000.026106320:54
92T. NosekL000010.038005713:13
12J. GadjovichL000010.13600—08:53
70J. BoqvistC000+110.17300008:41
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)46424.9135.01+1.0188:05

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).