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Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV Victory+, SNP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 6-5 in overtime, Kiefer Sherwood scoring at 3:44. The Canucks came back from three goals down. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 3:44 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.4 to 4.0; shots on goal were VAN 32, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 27 (.852); Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G), 2. Pius Suter (2 G), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    P. Suter2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Granlund1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN0701051312632
DALDAL281122800528

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:48
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (30), M. Granlund (43)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:01

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(30)PPG
    J. Benn (31), M. Granlund (44)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:28

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(25)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    0:17
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:39
  3. DAL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:15
  4. DAL
    snapxG 0.39win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:39
  5. VAN
    snapxG 0.07Video
    3-5
    19:00
  6. VAN
    snapxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:30
  7. VAN
    F. Hronek (27), Q. Hughes (58)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +46 ptsVideo
    5-5
    19:53

Overtime

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.26win prob +51 ptsVideo
    6-5
    3:44

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:53VANKiefer Sherwood · Slashingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 16:03VANFilip Hronek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:33VANMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 12:33DALMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:33VANElias Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 16:29VANPius Suter · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 18:33DALMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min

3rd

  • 2:42DALMason Marchment · High sticking double minordrawn by Teddy Blueger4 min

OT

  • 0:46DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, OT 3:44 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.39W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.30M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.19M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.17M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.17M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.16S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.12M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.09W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL5 G · 4.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
4.46 G
All situations
4 G4.0
3.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.32 G
Power play
3 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN61%39%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.30 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
3/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
20
22
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD022+220.15010—31:28
17F. HronekD022+310.1301210023:38
6B. BoeserR000+100.20000—23:13
29M. PetterssonD011010.01012—22:11
24P. SuterC202+150.722122821:31
8C. GarlandR033+220.13100—21:12
74J. DeBruskL101+240.42100—18:22
21N. HoglanderL000-120.33100—16:36
90V. ManciniD101-110.03120—15:12
25E. PetterssonD000030.34512—14:58
27D. ForbortD000000.00010—14:06
81D. JoshuaC000030.77600012:56
54A. RätyC112020.195103812:54
53T. BluegerC000010.081005812:39
44K. SherwoodL101+120.37502—12:32
18D. O'ConnorL000000.00000—11:11
63M. SassonC000010.021004411:04
94L. KarlssonC011020.51000010:40
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)27234.8523.59-0.4162:43

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).