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Canucks at Stars
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV Victory+, SN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 16:29 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 57% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 29, DAL 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 0.9 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (26 saves, .897), 2. Roope Hintz (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Robertson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger26 saves, .897
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0911129329
DALDAL171336516

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    O. Bäck(3)
    C. Blackwell (7)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:12

2nd period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(14)
    N. Hoglander (8), F. Hronek (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:08
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(18)PPG
    W. Johnston (29), M. Duchene (31)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:29

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(21)
    J. Robertson (30), E. Lindell (13)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:04
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(22)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:33
  3. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(18)PPG
    E. Pettersson (22), Q. Hughes (45)
    wristxG 0.10Video
    2-4
    17:51
  4. DAL
    J. Robertson(19)EN
    T. Harley (17), R. Hintz (13)
    snapxG 0.50Video
    2-5
    19:07
  5. VAN
    C. Soucy(2)
    P. Di Giuseppe (5), D. Heinen (12)
    slapxG 0.04Video
    3-5
    19:56

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:21DALMathew Dumba · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

2nd

  • 7:58DALKyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 11:14DALKyle Capobianco · Interferencedrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 15:38VANDerek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

3rd

  • 8:33VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 10:45DALLian Bichsel · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:25DALBrendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 16:29 — DAL 57% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.50R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.45W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.28W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.23J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.21R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.19O. Bäck · Goal · xG 0.18R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.08T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.07B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
2.43 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN56%44%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
16
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-210.01120—25:22
43Q. HughesD011010.16100—23:26
40E. PetterssonC011-230.171004222:29
6B. BoeserR000-340.40230—21:25
74J. DeBruskL101-440.39310—21:10
8C. GarlandR101030.46010—20:14
57T. MyersD000010.06112—19:49
24P. SuterC000-200.070003616:50
7C. SoucyD101-140.12000—15:43
27D. ForbortD000020.12032—15:36
81D. JoshuaC000-110.27500014:56
47N. JuulsenD000000.00600—14:19
20D. HeinenL011+100.06000—12:41
21N. HoglanderL011020.09110—12:26
53T. BluegerC000+100.000005511:59
94L. KarlssonC000000.00100011:23
54A. RätyC000020.045105009:20
34P. Di GiuseppeL011+110.01300—09:07
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)14113.7862.10-0.9058:54

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).