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Hurricanes at Sabres
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
0
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 16:45 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals were close — CAR 1.8, BUF 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 33, BUF 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Alex Tuch (1 G), 3. Tage Thompson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Reimer33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01209012033
BUFBUF052518318

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(44)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:32
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(34)SHG
    B. Byram (31), R. McLeod (30)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:45

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(24)
    J. Quinn (22)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:58

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:41BUFOwen Power · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:37CARShayne Gostisbehere · High stickingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

2nd

  • 10:48BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 15:27BUFConnor Clifton · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

3rd

  • 7:45CARPyotr Kochetkov · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCAR goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 2nd 16:45 — BUF 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.17A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.15J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.15R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.12A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.07O. Power · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.00P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 1.8 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBUF
1.80 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR51%49%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBUF
33
Shots on goal
18
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. OrlovD000010.02030—22:26
20S. AhoC000-150.431004021:32
74J. SlavinD000-110.00010—20:05
5J. ChatfieldD000020.06110—19:49
8B. BurnsD000-200.00010—19:39
24S. JarvisR000-150.35010—19:12
53J. BlakeR000-100.00000—17:52
4S. GostisbehereD000-130.13002—17:19
26S. WalkerD000-130.09210—15:59
37A. SvechnikovR000-110.03310—15:33
11J. StaalC000010.072007515:22
48J. MartinookL000000.030005015:01
71T. HallL000-110.01000—14:47
27T. JostC000-140.15110013:04
22L. StankovenC000-220.23010012:24
77M. JankowskiL000020.062005012:23
50E. RobinsonL000010.05010—12:04
96J. RoslovicC000-210.100106411:33
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)18153.8331.77-1.2359:56

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).