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Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSP, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Flyers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 2:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 24, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 2. Lane Hutson (1 G), 3. Jake Evans (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1805111224
MTLMTL04011311326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:10

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Evans (22), C. Dvorak (20)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:24
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.01win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:40
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(27)SHG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:39
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:20

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:41MTLAlexandre Carrier · High sticking double minordrawn by Matvei Michkov4 min
  • 11:38PHICam York · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 11:05PHIJakob Pelletier · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 9:20MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Boardingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 18:13MTLMike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPHI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Lane Hutson, 3rd 2:40 — MTL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.26J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.24E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.20C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.20O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.17P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.16C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.14K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.10J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.09M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.00M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMTL
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.6
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI30%70%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
40
10
Blocked shots
14
19
Giveaways
29
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. CouturierC000-150.641005824:38
11T. KonecnyR011-230.1710010024:35
39M. MichkovR000-230.19000—23:04
6T. SanheimD000010.12200—21:50
9J. DrysdaleD000-100.00010—19:33
71T. FoersterR101-110.16010—18:48
24N. SeelerD000020.01220—18:43
10B. BrinkR000-200.2021010017:52
5E. ZamulaD000000.00020—16:38
25R. PoehlingC112020.220206916:35
27N. CatesL000-200.001004015:39
8C. YorkD011-100.01012—15:04
36E. AndraeD000010.02000—14:40
74O. TippettR000+120.06100—13:24
22J. PelletierL011+120.04102—11:14
23K. DorwartL000020.162004010:32
19G. HathawayR000000.00500—09:46
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00600—06:47
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)26233.8853.08+0.0856:38

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).