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Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN2·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 4:48 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 24, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.8 goals below expected; Aleksei Kolosov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 2. Travis Sanheim (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1113805424
PHIPHI1907210326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.40win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:42
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:24

2nd period

  1. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:48
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:48
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:01

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:48
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:17

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:12MTLArber Xhekaj · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 18:01MTLOliver Kapanen · Holdingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

2nd

  • 11:05PHIJamie Drysdale · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 19:09PHIMatvei Michkov · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:23MTLNick Suzuki · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMTL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 2nd 4:48 — MTL 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.22S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.15S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.11M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.10R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.09R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPHI
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL59%41%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPHI
24
Shots on goal
26
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
28
22
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
22
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011+120.03070—24:58
58D. SavardD011000.00140—22:15
48L. HutsonD000010.07020—21:42
14N. SuzukiC112050.950323618:57
47J. StrubleD011+120.06400—18:55
71J. EvansC101020.090003217:07
72A. XhekajD000-100.00002—16:56
13C. CaufieldR101040.90000—16:22
77K. DachC011010.21200016:20
40J. ArmiaR000000.00120—15:55
17J. AndersonR011-100.00300—15:33
11B. GallagherR112010.08010—14:57
28C. DvorakC000010.160005714:21
15A. NewhookC000000.000005013:47
24L. MaillouxD011-100.02100—13:31
91O. KapanenC000020.06112010:52
51E. HeinemanL000020.11210—10:47
55M. PezzettaL000+110.03310—10:45
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(W)26233.8852.23-0.7760:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).