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Lightning at Golden Knights
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSUN, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 13:33 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 67% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.5 to 3.6; shots on goal were TBL 37, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (35 saves, .946), 2. Nicolas Roy (1 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    I. Samsonov35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Roy1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL01311519237
VGKVGK3130819430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(11)PPG
    W. Karlsson (13), A. Pietrangelo (27)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:02
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(31)
    R. Smith (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:33
  3. VGK
    J. Eichel(23)
    Z. Whitecloud (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:13

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(21)
    G. Goncalves (9), D. Raddysh (27)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:38

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Hague(5)EN
    A. Pietrangelo (28), B. Howden (14)
    wristxG 0.52Video
    1-4
    17:18
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(30)PPG
    V. Hedman (42), B. Hagel (45)
    slapxG 0.12Video
    2-4
    19:55

Penalties

TBL 13 PIM·VGK 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:46TBLNikita Kucherov · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 5:10VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Trippingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 9:20TBLYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 9:20TBLYanni Gourde · Fightingdrawn by Brett Howden5 min
  • 9:20VGKBrett Howden · Fightingdrawn by Yanni Gourde5 min
  • 17:09TBLNick Perbix · Interferencedrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 19:55VGKBrett Howden · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 7:16VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min

3rd

  • 14:11TBLEmil Lilleberg · Boardingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 18:06VGKKeegan Kolesar · Slashingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalTBL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 1st 13:33 — VGK 67% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.51A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.40M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.35P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.20N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.19N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.19P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.18P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.16N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.06B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 4.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsVGK
3.62 G
All situations
3 G4.5
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL51%49%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
14
5
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011-220.10110—24:17
21B. PointC000-240.721006022:42
59J. GuentzelC000-210.130007522:19
86N. KucherovR101-260.78002—22:09
38B. HagelL011-160.28010—21:45
27R. McDonaghD000-110.02100—18:03
81E. CernakD000-120.01400—17:28
43D. RaddyshD011010.09000—15:44
71A. CirelliC000-210.050003615:25
37Y. GourdeC000+110.0630710015:10
93G. GoncalvesC011000.04300013:50
48N. PerbixD000-100.09312—13:26
22O. BjorkstrandR000+130.23000—13:22
90J. MoserD000-110.05120—13:03
20N. PaulL101+140.492004612:10
78E. LillebergD000+100.03102—12:06
11L. GlendeningC000020.283006910:57
28Z. GirgensonsC000020.1340010009:54
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29263.8973.55+0.5558:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).