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Golden Knights at Lightning
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV BSSUN, SCRIPPS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Golden Knights scored first; the Lightning answered. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 19:05 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 25, TBL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 21 of 25 (.840); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G), 2. J.J. Moser (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brayden Point.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Moser1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21011005325
TBLTBL290927425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    B. McNabb(1)
    M. Stone (7), J. Eichel (7)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:26
  2. TBL
    J. Moser(1)
    C. Atkinson (1), E. Lilleberg (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:21
  3. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(2)PPG
    S. Theodore (5), J. Eichel (8)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:20
  4. TBL
    N. Kucherov(5)
    J. Guentzel (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:47

2nd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(4)
    S. Theodore (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:59

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(2)
    M. Chaffee (1), J. Moser (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:38
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(6)
    V. Hedman (4), J. Moser (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:05

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:06TBLConor Geekie · Roughingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

2nd

  • 9:16TBLMichael Eyssimont · Slashingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 17:47VGKZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 18:37VGKserved by B. Brisson · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:08TBLConor Geekie · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalVGK goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 19:05 — TBL 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.43B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.19C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.19N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Missed · xG 0.18B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.13J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsTBL
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK24%76%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD022-130.06030—23:13
9J. EichelC022+210.080204722:36
61M. StoneR011+100.00000—21:13
7A. PietrangeloD000-230.10020—20:54
3B. McNabbD101+120.14120—20:01
48T. HertlC000-230.490105419:39
2Z. WhitecloudD000+100.00312—19:12
16P. DorofeyevR101-130.48010—18:03
15N. HanifinD000-220.01220—17:22
49I. BarbashevL101+210.36110—16:16
14N. HagueD000-100.00010—15:03
70T. PearsonL000-220.03020—14:11
21B. HowdenC000-200.001006013:42
10N. RoyC000-200.001005013:16
55K. KolesarR000-100.00610—13:14
26A. HoltzR000-130.19010—11:31
19B. BrissonC000010.04000009:05
22C. SchwindtR000010.0510010008:46
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)25214.8403.67-0.3358:43

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).