Skip to content
Sabres at Jets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
3
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Dahlin's goal at 18:46 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 17, WPG 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. James Reimer stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (33 saves, .917), 2. Jacob Bernard-Docker (2 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Reimer33 saves, .917
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Bernard-Docker2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF131638517
WPGWPG010113213336

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(22)
    J. Bernard-Docker (4), R. McLeod (23)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(15)PPG
    C. Perfetti (29), V. Namestnikov (24)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:05
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(13)
    J. Bernard-Docker (5), R. McLeod (24)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:46

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Kozak(2)PPG
    M. Samuelsson (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:13
  2. WPG
    C. Miller(3)
    M. Scheifele (42), L. Stanley (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:41
  3. BUF
    A. Tuch(27)SHG
    R. McLeod (25), C. Clifton (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:21
  4. WPG
    N. Ehlers(23)
    L. Stanley (11), D. DeMelo (14)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:32
  5. BUF
    R. McLeod(17)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.49win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:13

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:58WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min

2nd

  • 0:24BUFConnor Clifton · Holdingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 6:28WPGMason Appleton · Interferencedrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 12:31BUFBowen Byram · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 5:13WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 12:02BUFMattias Samuelsson · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalBUF goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Dahlin, 2nd 18:46 — BUF 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.28N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.19A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsWPG
1.44 G
All situations
3 G3.6
0.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF9%91%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.92 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsWPG
17
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
7
16
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD101+120.06020—23:53
71R. McLeodC134+320.550105021:33
4B. ByramD000+200.00012—21:19
23M. SamuelssonD011010.02122—21:13
89A. TuchR101+220.14220—21:09
75C. CliftonD011+120.01212—21:00
77J. PeterkaR101+110.10200—18:23
72T. ThompsonC000-110.190005318:12
9Z. BensonL000020.16100—17:39
22J. QuinnR000+100.02100—16:45
25O. PowerD000010.01000—15:59
17J. ZuckerL000010.04100—15:09
19P. KrebsC000000.001105013:12
48T. KozakC101010.093004413:12
24J. Bernard-DockerD022010.00220—12:49
29B. MalenstynL000-100.0030010011:39
57B. MurrayL000000.00100—06:29
12J. GreenwayL000000.00010—04:44
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)36333.9173.63+0.6360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).