Skip to content
Jets at Sabres
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
Final/OTTV MSG-B, TSN3·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Adam Lowry scoring at 3:59. The Sabres scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 3:59 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 31, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, .933), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    D. Cozens1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG1141120312331
BUFBUF2110100702230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(14)PPG
    J. Zucker (11), A. Tuch (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:27
  2. WPG
    G. Vilardi(10)
    H. Fleury (4), M. Scheifele (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:14
  3. BUF
    D. Cozens(6)
    Z. Benson (5), C. Clifton (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:29

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(14)PPG
    M. Scheifele (16), J. Morrissey (22)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:06

Overtime

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(7)
    J. Morrissey (23), G. Vilardi (9)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:59

Penalties

WPG 23 PIM·BUF 27 PIM

1st

  • 2:28WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Hookingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 4:14BUFserved by J. Peterka · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:38BUFDennis Gilbert · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 11:38WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert5 min
  • 11:38BUFDennis Gilbert · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:38WPGLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:48BUFNicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 16:59BUFBowen Byram · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 1:33BUFTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 1:33BUFJacob Bryson · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 17:36WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 19:18BUFJason Zucker · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 19:18WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 12:51WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalWPG goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, OT 3:59 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.17A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.13J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.12J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.11R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.07P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsBUF
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG61%39%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/5
Power play
1/3
23
Penalty minutes
27
15
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022+230.09010—29:54
4N. PionkD000020.10032—27:33
55M. ScheifeleC022+120.253005624:49
81K. ConnorL101+141.06000—23:42
13G. VilardiC112+220.28000021:52
2D. DeMeloD000000.00000—19:09
91C. PerfettiC000-130.33210019:05
24H. FleuryD011+120.06130—18:41
17A. LowryC101+140.352207117:43
22M. AppletonC000000.10300016:28
62N. NiederreiterR000010.16110—15:54
7V. NamestnikovC000-130.320243013:02
9A. IafalloL000010.00010—11:34
14V. HeinolaD000-110.00110—10:57
64L. StanleyD000-110.000117—10:20
36M. BarronC000010.09000009:15
93B. LambertC000-100.001105009:01
15R. KupariC000010.011105008:09
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)30282.9332.59+0.5963:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).