Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 7-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 12:28 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 50% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 30, EDM 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 24 of 28 (.857); Calvin Pickard stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A

- ★★Z. Hyman2 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Ekholm1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-112:28
0-215:14
0-319:56
2nd period
0-47:41
0-59:53
1-516:26
3rd period
1-60:33
1-72:36
Penalties
1st
- 12:02
Darnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
- 13:11
Jack McBain · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
- 17:24
Zach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
- 19:32
Darnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
- 19:32
Jack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
2nd
- 11:11
Ian Cole · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 14:22
Jake Walman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 6:50
Ian Cole · Holdingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 1st 12:28 — 50% → 64%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 7 G5.4
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 6 G4.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 5.26
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 22
- Hits
- 18
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 17
- Giveaways
- 12
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 3-0
4@
3OTFinal
1@
4Final
1@
7this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
