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Oilers at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Utah Mammoth
3
Final/OTTV Utah16, TVAS·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3 in overtime, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scoring at 1:18. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 1:18 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.0, UTA 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 32, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Karel Vejmelka stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM053701713432
UTAUTA2120101900331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(4)
    K. Stenlund (3)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:17
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(5)
    J. Välimäki (1), R. Bortuzzo (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:15

2nd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(2)
    L. Draisaitl (15), T. Stecher (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:44
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)PPG
    C. McDavid (18), E. Bouchard (10)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:01
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(12)PPG
    E. Bouchard (11), C. Perry (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:22

3rd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(4)
    N. Bjugstad (3), O. Maatta (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:42

Overtime

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:18

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 10:28EDMTy Emberson · Hookingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 12:59UTAOlli Maatta · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 14:29UTARobert Bortuzzo · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 16:35UTAMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalEDM goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, OT 1:18 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.22B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.21D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.19L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.17M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.17D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.10D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.08J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.00J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsUTA
3.04 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsUTA
32
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
8
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
23
12
Giveaways
16
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD022-320.03010—23:49
97C. McDavidC112-360.540003323:46
29L. DraisaitlC112+150.840005323:16
25D. NurseD000+150.06000—22:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-130.44100021:35
14M. EkholmD000-100.01110—20:45
27B. KulakD000-120.01110—19:41
28C. BrownR000+110.2100010016:53
51T. StecherD011+110.11020—15:56
90C. PerryR011020.1600010014:45
19A. HenriqueC000+120.300003614:44
13M. JanmarkC000-110.0000010014:25
92V. PodkolzinR101+110.0830010014:17
49T. EmbersonD000000.00002—13:34
53J. SkinnerL000-110.1111010013:29
42K. KapanenR000-200.10100—13:13
10D. RyanC000000.000104009:02
8D. CaggiulaL000000.00000—06:02
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)31283.9032.87-0.1361:18

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).