Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 15:46 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 30, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Jankowski (2 G), 2. Pyotr Kochetkov (26 saves, 1.000), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Jankowski2 G

- ★★P. Kochetkov26 saves, 1.000

- ★★★S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-08:21
2-015:46
2nd period
3-00:19
4-013:15
3rd period
5-019:28
Penalties
1st
- 8:21
served by M. Michkov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 11:40
Matvei Michkov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
2nd
- 0:10
Ryan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 16:51
Mark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols2 min
3rd
- 9:55
Noah Cates · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 14:01
Jackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Pelletier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 1st 15:46 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.15 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.9
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.3
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 9
- Hits
- 26
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 31
- 15
- Giveaways
- 21
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
