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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 1:03 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were CAR 37, PHI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 18 of 19 (.947); Ivan Fedotov stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jalen Chatfield (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ivan Fedotov (33 saves, .892).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Fedotov33 saves, .892

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR110010317437
PHIPHI0111404119

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Chatfield(1)
    J. Martinook (6), W. Carrier (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:30

2nd period

  1. PHI
    R. Poehling(1)
    N. Seeler (5), N. Cates (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:03
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(3)
    D. Orlov (7), J. Chatfield (5)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:02
  3. CAR
    J. Roslovic(10)
    S. Aho (12)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:57

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:47PHITyson Foerster · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:05CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:04CARSebastian Aho · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:38CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 3rd 1:03 — CAR 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Richard · On goal · xG 0.17M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.16T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Richard · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03A. Richard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02H. Grans · Missed · xG 0.01H. Grans · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.4 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.94 G
All situations
1 G1.4
2.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR78%22%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
37
Shots on goal
19
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
20
17
Giveaways
25
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+200.00110—21:21
8B. BurnsD000+230.03010—21:03
5J. ChatfieldD112+220.06000—20:30
7D. OrlovD011+240.19000—20:17
4S. GostisbehereD000-130.02100—18:02
26S. WalkerD000-120.08100—17:36
50E. RobinsonL000-100.30100—16:58
88M. NecasC000-140.171106016:41
53J. BlakeR000020.15000—16:28
20S. AhoC112+230.271026315:57
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.110223315:39
18J. DruryC000020.111207115:25
48J. MartinookL011+330.301205014:12
11J. StaalC101+230.400004614:10
37A. SvechnikovR000+110.12102—13:22
96J. RoslovicC101+220.40000012:33
27T. JostC000020.1510010012:09
28W. CarrierL011+210.09200—11:37
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)19181.9471.40+0.4060:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).