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Stars at Oilers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
4
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV Victory+, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Dallas Stars 5-4. The Stars scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 17:42 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were DAL 25, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.7 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1807310425
EDMEDM3829010527

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(24)PPG
    J. Robertson (38), M. Rantanen (44)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:48
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(21)
    C. McDavid (57), D. Nurse (19)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:12
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(22)
    J. Walman (27)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:26
  4. EDM
    V. Arvidsson(8)
    E. Bouchard (39), L. Draisaitl (49)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:42

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(24)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (23), Z. Hyman (15)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:20
  2. EDM
    C. Brown(8)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    17:40

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(28)PPG
    M. Duchene (39), T. Harley (27)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    5:06
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(16)
    E. Dadonov (18), C. Ceci (15)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    5:17
  3. DAL
    M. Dumba(1)
    M. Marchment (17), M. Granlund (38)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-5
    9:18

Penalties

DAL 0 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:24EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

2nd

  • 6:12EDMKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

3rd

  • 3:54EDMBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDAL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 1st 17:42 — EDM 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.50Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.33C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.30Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.25C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.20A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.11J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM5 G · 3.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsEDM
3.24 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.12 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
19
18
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD011-350.23030—26:06
21J. RobertsonL011-120.17100—22:28
96M. RantanenR112-140.64010—21:56
23E. LindellD000-120.11020—21:12
44C. CeciD011-100.00020—20:54
53W. JohnstonC101-210.481101720:18
95M. DucheneC011-100.250006318:13
64M. GranlundC011-120.370005016:54
27M. MarchmentL011-100.08010—16:37
46I. LyubushkinD000-310.02020—15:49
6L. BichselD000+120.03600—15:09
14J. BennL101-110.210103314:35
3M. DumbaD101+120.06220—14:13
22M. BourqueC000+110.141104413:39
18S. SteelC000-100.001008613:36
63E. DadonovL011-110.10000—10:43
10O. BäckC000010.25000010:30
24R. HintzC000000.080206309:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)27225.8153.27-1.7357:53

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).