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Oilers at Stars
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV Victory+, SN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 19:34 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 58% to 76%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.0, DAL 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 31, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (30 saves, .968), 2. Matt Duchene (2 G), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM011010110131
DALDAL0219313424

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(2)PPG
    R. Hintz (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:34

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(3)
    M. Marchment (4), C. Blackwell (2)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:06
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(3)
    L. Stankoven (6), J. Robertson (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:16
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(3)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (2), C. McDavid (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:38
  4. DAL
    J. Robertson(3)EN
    L. Stankoven (7), R. Hintz (4)
    backhandxG 0.81win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:01

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:46DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 14:04DALRoope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min
  • 19:31EDMTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalEDM goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 2nd 19:34 — DAL 58% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.81J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.33M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.22R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.19W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13M. Blümel · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.06W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.06W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Blümel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsDAL
3.01 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
24
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
22
23
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000050.27010—23:54
97C. McDavidC011030.453005022:35
29L. DraisaitlC101020.540007821:04
18Z. HymanL000040.62010—21:03
25D. NurseD000-210.19000—20:47
51T. StecherD000-100.00122—20:20
14M. EkholmD000-250.20000—18:53
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+100.060008718:43
49T. EmbersonD000030.02110—16:27
27B. KulakD000010.01030—15:12
13M. JanmarkC000-100.00100014:37
33V. ArvidssonL000+120.1800010014:35
53J. SkinnerL000-130.28100—14:06
28C. BrownR000-200.03010—13:09
90C. PerryR000-100.00000—12:21
19A. HenriqueC000-200.000301112:20
92V. PodkolzinR000020.17200—10:32
10D. RyanC000000.001006710:28
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)23203.8702.34-0.6658:51

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).