San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 7-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fabian Zetterlund's goal at 10:08 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 20% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were SJS 34, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 2.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (2 G, 4 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 3 A), 3. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Makar2 G, 4 A

- ★★N. MacKinnon2 G, 3 A

- ★★★M. Necas1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-14:19
0-26:43
1-210:08
1-319:57
2nd period
1-40:40
1-510:54
3rd period
1-65:21
2-68:10
2-79:00
3-717:24
Penalties
1st
- 3:26
Martin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
- 5:30
Ty Dellandrea · Slashingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 8:27
Devon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
- 15:39
Joel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
- 18:38
Ty Dellandrea · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
2nd
- 0:37
Mario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
- 8:27
Macklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
- 11:31
Josh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
3rd
- 6:13
Keaton Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Fabian Zetterlund, 1st 10:08 — 20% → 33%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.83 G
- All situations
- 7 G4.7
- 1.11 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.6
- 1.72 G
- Power play
- 3 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 4.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 3/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 20
- Hits
- 11
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 17
- Giveaways
- 14
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
