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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Kiviranta's goal at 13:06 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 31, SJS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Kiviranta (2 G), 2. Luke Kunin (2 A), 3. William Eklund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Kiviranta2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    L. Kunin2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    W. Eklund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11208311431
SJSSJS010211013234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(9)PPG
    C. Makar (30), N. MacKinnon (38)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:40

2nd period

  1. SJS
    C. Grundstrom(1)
    J. Rutta (4), L. Kunin (5)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:26
  2. SJS
    W. Eklund(6)
    C. Ceci (8), L. Kunin (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(19)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (39), C. Makar (31)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:26
  2. COL
    J. Kiviranta(6)
    L. O'Connor (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:06
  3. COL
    J. Kiviranta(7)
    A. Lehkonen (6), C. Mittelstadt (16)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:58

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:07SJSCarl Grundstrom · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 19:35SJSJake Walman · Roughingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 19:35COLMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 19:35SJSJake Walman · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 9:29COLserved by Ivan Ivan · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:10SJSMacklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 5:33COLParker Kelly · Holding the stickdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 7:59SJSBarclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 8:49COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 10:54COLValeri Nichushkin · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Kiviranta, 3rd 13:06 — COL 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.48W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.10H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.04C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.00J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.00H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.7 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
3.34 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
11
13
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022-230.29020—30:57
7D. ToewsD000+130.30030—26:41
29N. MacKinnonC022-130.290306223:18
13V. NichushkinR101050.73132—23:14
62A. LehkonenL011010.05012—22:33
49S. GirardD000-120.06000—22:02
96M. RantanenR101-130.900026018:01
25L. O'ConnorR011010.07000—15:26
20R. ColtonC000020.092005015:23
70S. MalinskiD000+120.05000—15:15
37C. MittelstadtC011000.000004315:01
17P. KellyC000000.132024013:52
94J. KivirantaL202+230.2920010013:37
44C. de HaanD000010.01010—11:59
67K. MiddletonD000+100.00200—09:06
82I. IvanC000000.00000005:59
14C. WagnerR000020.061007505:06
55G. SmithR000000.00000—04:47
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)34322.9412.68+0.6859:43

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).