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Kraken at Predators
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, KHN/Prime·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The Kraken scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 3:33 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were SEA 25, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Michael McCarron (1 G), 3. Ozzy Wiesblatt (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. McCarron1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    O. Wiesblatt1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1507213325
NSHNSH11731116534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    A. Larsson(5)
    V. Dunn (18), K. Kakko (26)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:32
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(23)
    C. Sissons (14)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:15

2nd period

  1. NSH
    B. Skjei(8)
    S. Stamkos (19), R. O'Reilly (24)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:33
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(24)
    J. Marchessault (28), M. Del Gaizo (5)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:48
  3. NSH
    M. McCarron(4)
    O. Wiesblatt (1), J. Barron (5)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.22win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:51

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(16)PPG
    J. Schwartz (20), A. Burakovsky (17)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:31
  2. NSH
    L. Evangelista(6)EN
    S. Stamkos (20), S. Stastney (1)
    wristxG 0.46Video
    2-5
    17:15
  3. SEA
    M. Eyssimont(6)
    J. Mahura (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08Video
    3-5
    18:14

Penalties

SEA 2 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:02SEAAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 18:58NSHJake Lucchini · Holdingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min

3rd

  • 8:10NSHSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 11:37NSHFilip Forsberg · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Melanson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSEA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 2nd 3:33 — NSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.46F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.45F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.28M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.22F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.08O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lucchini · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wiesblatt · Missed · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.00A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.00F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNSH
1.73 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA31%69%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNSH
25
Shots on goal
34
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
22
21
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-220.10020—24:16
9C. StephensonC000000.000004422:33
29V. DunnD011-130.18230—22:29
6A. LarssonD101+110.19002—18:58
7J. EberleR000010.03010—18:36
24J. OleksiakD000-100.01020—18:03
17J. SchwartzL011-150.26000—17:57
84K. KakkoR011-100.0610010017:34
10M. BeniersC000-210.030002517:13
19J. McCannL101-130.28210—16:50
41R. EvansD000-210.03120—16:35
20E. TolvanenR000-130.14620—14:55
95A. BurakovskyL011-200.00010—14:29
51S. WrightC000-310.080006314:05
28J. MahuraD011-100.00310—14:00
21M. EyssimontC101030.13210012:39
63J. MelansonR000000.00400—09:53
59B. MeyersC000+110.143002909:41
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)33294.8792.69-1.3157:14

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).