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Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 15:55 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 24, SEA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (3 A), 2. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joey Daccord (24 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    C. Stephenson3 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord24 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0608010024
SEASEA01111729337

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:55

3rd period

  1. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:23
  2. SEA
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:17

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:43NSHserved by P. Tomasino · Bench2 min
  • 8:39SEABen Meyers · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 17:58NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

2nd

  • 2:55SEAJosh Mahura · Interferencedrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 7:08NSHJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 11:21NSHAlexandre Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 13:57SEABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNSH goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 2nd 15:55 — SEA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.34C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.22E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.18D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.16J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.14D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.13C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.11D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.10B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSEA
2.40 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH43%57%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSEA
24
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
28
19
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-200.06002—25:54
76B. SkjeiD000-220.06200—21:53
81J. MarchessaultR000-150.43002—19:15
3J. LauzonD000020.02310—18:56
9F. ForsbergL000-240.42100—18:36
14G. NyquistR000-200.07000—18:23
90R. O'ReillyC000-200.090205017:39
45A. CarrierD000-120.03122—17:37
91S. StamkosC000-110.2600010017:09
47M. McCarronC000020.221207315:40
2L. SchennD000010.25530—15:19
36C. SmithR000000.02000—13:43
7M. Del GaizoD000020.03120—13:39
82T. NovakC000000.190007513:04
10C. SissonsC000000.080103613:02
68Z. L'HeureuxL000-120.16400—11:35
13J. ParssinenC000-110.051005011:13
26P. TomasinoR000-100.00200—10:48
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)36342.9442.83+0.8358:35

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).