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Nashville Predators at New York Rangers

FinalTV FDSNSO, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Nashville Predators 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 1:02 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 71% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were NSH 34, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Quick34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0609019034
NYRNYR11521316434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:32

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Miller(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:02
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:25

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.08Video
    0-4
    16:57

Penalties

NSH 27 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:19NSHCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 4:07NYRMatt Rempe · Elbowingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 4:07NYRMatt Rempe · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 4:07NSHAndreas Englund · Instigatordrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
  • 4:07NSHAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Matt Rempe5 min
  • 4:07NSHAndreas Englund · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 8:51NSHSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 0:26NSHJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 6:37NYRCalvin de Haan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:55NSHJustin Barron · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:41NYRSam Carrick · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Justus Annunen2 min
  • 5:00NSHNick Blankenburg · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 1:02 — NYR 71% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.20A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.16S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.15B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09B. Berard · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.07K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.06S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNYR
3.30 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH60%40%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
34
70%
Faceoffs
30%
0/2
Power play
1/5
27
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9F. ForsbergL000-120.51200—20:06
90R. O'ReillyC000-130.431008319:52
76B. SkjeiD000020.05100—19:33
7M. Del GaizoD000060.22020—18:48
91S. StamkosC000020.211227517:49
37N. BlankenburgD000-110.15102—17:37
24S. StastneyD000-210.13110—17:12
20J. BarronD000-210.06112—16:58
10C. SissonsC000-120.320306016:52
81J. MarchessaultR000050.66002—16:23
2L. SchennD000010.00610—16:21
47M. McCarronC000-220.232107515:46
77L. EvangelistaR000010.01000—15:38
36C. SmithR000030.15002—15:16
82T. NovakC000010.190006714:36
26K. BellowsL000-200.00300—13:21
8A. EnglundD000-100.021317—10:43
21J. LucchiniC000-210.02000008:33
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(L)34304.8822.67-1.3360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).