New York Islanders at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 4:21 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 20, BOS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (38 saves, .974), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G).
Three stars
- ★I. Sorokin38 saves, .974

- ★★D. Pastrnak1 G

- ★★★K. Palmieri1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-016:11
2nd period
2-04:21
3rd period
2-110:04
Penalties
1st
- 8:34
Adam Boqvist · Slashingdrawn by John Beecher2 min
- 14:05
Alexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by John Beecher2 min
2nd
- 11:05
John Beecher · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
- 18:24
Brock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
3rd
- 3:18
Brad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 4:21 — 64% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G4.3
- 1.72 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 4.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 33
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 23
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-1
6@
3Final
5@
4OTFinal
2@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
