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Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

FinalTV NESN, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 10:48 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.1, NYI 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 21, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Marchand (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Zacha2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS291537621
NYINYI1826010324

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:57
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:31
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    12:50

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:52
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:59
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.25win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:52

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:48
  2. BOS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:23
  3. BOS
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:58

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·NYI 0 PIM

3rd

  • 15:50BOSNikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBOS goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 3rd 10:48 — BOS 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.25M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.24S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.15K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.00A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNYI
2.15 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.25 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS33%67%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.24 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
35
Hits
36
15
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29P. WotherspoonD000+120.02110—21:49
91N. ZadorovD112+220.50322—21:32
52A. PeekeD011+310.02230—20:32
25B. CarloD000+340.06530—20:23
73C. McAvoyD011-100.00210—18:49
63B. MarchandL202+120.2630010017:51
6M. LohreiD000-100.01000—17:26
55J. BrazeauR011+110.01210—16:38
39M. GeekieC101+220.132002516:36
13C. CoyleC000000.422203116:24
88D. PastrnakR033+210.11100—16:17
28E. LindholmC033+200.001005815:56
11T. FredericC000-100.11310015:13
18P. ZachaC213+230.242004315:04
90T. JohnsonC000-100.00000012:49
47M. KastelicC000030.165005612:35
45C. KoepkeL000000.00100—11:24
19J. BeecherC000000.000107510:42
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)24213.8752.01-0.9960:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).