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Red Wings at Wild
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV FDSNDET, FDSNNO·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Edvinsson's goal at 11:35 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were DET 16, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Filip Gustavsson stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Edvinsson (2 G), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 A), 3. Dylan Larkin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    S. Edvinsson2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET092413316
MINMIN2707010224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(21)PPG
    M. Boldy (30), J. Spurgeon (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:17
  2. MIN
    J. Lauko(3)
    D. Shore (3), Y. Trenin (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:11

2nd period

  1. DET
    V. Tarasenko(8)
    E. Gustafsson (13), M. Kasper (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:12
  2. DET
    S. Edvinsson(6)
    A. DeBrincat (24), J. Compher (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. DET
    S. Edvinsson(7)
    A. Johansson (5), E. Soderblom (4)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:35

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:56DETSimon Edvinsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:03DETElmer Soderblom · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 8:11MINMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 17:18DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 17:18MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDET goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Simon Edvinsson, 3rd 11:35 — DET 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lauko · Goal · xG 0.13V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.12M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 1.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMIN
1.53 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMIN
16
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-120.00140—24:59
8B. ChiarotD000010.07110—22:36
77S. EdvinssonD202+220.07362—21:58
20A. JohanssonD011+110.01110—21:32
92M. KasperC011+120.15100019:06
37J. CompherL011+100.000006718:46
71D. LarkinC000000.150125618:26
23L. RaymondL000010.43100—18:13
88P. KaneR000-110.15110—16:36
11V. TarasenkoR101+320.16010—16:13
93A. DeBrincatR011000.01100—15:32
56E. GustafssonD011+130.08000—14:39
85E. SoderblomL011+210.17702—14:33
90J. VelenoC000+100.021005013:37
3J. HollD000000.01100—12:16
14T. MotteC000000.005106009:24
36C. FischerR000000.00100—08:10
48J. BerggrenR000000.00000—08:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)24222.9171.86-0.1460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).