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Wild at Red Wings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
3
Final/OTTV ABC, ESPN+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, Marco Rossi scoring at 3:35. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 3:35 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MIN 4.1, DET 3.9; shots on goal were MIN 39, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Marco Rossi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Rossi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN0121721713439
DETDET181151502330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(25)
    A. Copp (13), V. Tarasenko (16)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:54

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(24)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (23), L. Raymond (39)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:41
  2. MIN
    V. Hinostroza(2)PPG
    M. Boldy (29)
    batxG 0.67win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:05

3rd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(22)PPG
    D. Larkin (28), P. Kane (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    0:22
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(21)
    M. Johansson (12), F. Gaudreau (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    13:07
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(11)
    M. Rossi (29), M. Johansson (13)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +42 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:29

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(20)
    J. Eriksson Ek (15)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:35

Penalties

MIN 14 PIM·DET 10 PIM

2nd

  • 5:05MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 7:09DETJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:40MINMatt Boldy · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 19:40DETAndrew Copp · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 19:40MINMatt Boldy · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 0:22MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 4:53DETMichael Rasmussen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 11:51MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 12:43DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 12:43MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 12:43DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

OT

  • 1:22MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMIN goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, OT 3:35 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.77E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.28A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.17P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.15M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.14E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.07J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.05E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.04S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDET
4.14 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.61 G
Power play
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN54%46%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.96 – 3.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDET
39
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000010.10010—30:05
25J. BrodinD000+200.00020—24:02
5J. MiddletonD000030.09112—24:00
12M. BoldyL112+260.41004—23:36
36M. ZuccarelloR000+130.21010—22:29
23M. RossiC112+230.581245719:12
46J. SpurgeonD000+120.01000—18:30
14J. Eriksson EkC011050.512026318:28
89F. GaudreauC011+120.030003816:22
24Z. BogosianD000000.01230—15:04
90M. JohanssonL022+120.24100—14:13
17M. FolignoL101+110.23510—13:23
18V. HinostrozaC101-151.30000013:01
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.13010012:21
13Y. TreninC000020.06410012:16
4J. MerrillD000010.03000—10:17
28L. OhgrenL000010.08300—09:59
19D. ShoreC000020.09200009:26
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)30273.9003.94+0.9462:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).