Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 5-4 in overtime, Mitch Marner scoring at 4:08. The Maple Leafs came back from three goals down. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 4:08 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.4 to 3.5; shots on goal were TOR 29, BOS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 3 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Pastrnak2 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Marchand1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Rielly1 G, 3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-10:29
0-213:59
2nd period
0-310:00
1-313:52
3rd period
2-30:59
3-36:40
3-410:33
4-419:14
Overtime
5-44:08
Penalties
1st
- 4:32
served by O. Wahlstrom · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 12:45
Matthew Knies · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 15:23
John Beecher · Holdingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
2nd
- 2:10
Max Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
- 5:08
Pontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
- 5:30
Mason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
- 9:53
Jake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
- 14:21
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
- 17:22
Matthew Knies · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 19:04
Oliver Wahlstrom · High stickingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mitch Marner, OT 4:08 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.55 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.4
- 2.84 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.6
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 4.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 2/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 30
- Hits
- 20
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 19
- Giveaways
- 22
- 9
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
TOR leads 3-1
3@
4OTFinal
0@
4Final
4@
6Final
5@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
