Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Brad Marchand scoring at 2:26. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 23, BOS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Kastelic (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Marchand1 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Matthews1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Kastelic1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-00:35
1-12:57
2-17:44
2-212:38
2-313:14
3rd period
3-318:43
Overtime
3-42:26
Penalties
1st
- 3:40
Ryan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
- 10:34
Morgan Geekie · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
- 12:03
John Beecher · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
2nd
- 2:31
Jake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by John Beecher2 min
- 7:11
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
- 7:11
Charlie Coyle · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
- 8:24
William Nylander · High sticking double minordrawn by David Pastrnak4 min
- 19:47
Trent Frederic · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
3rd
- 9:58
Nick Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brad Marchand, OT 2:26 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.0
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.2
- 1.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.48
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 20
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 12
- Giveaways
- 11
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
TOR leads 3-1
3@
4OTthis game
0@
4Final
4@
6Final
5@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
