New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 11:26 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 16, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G), 2. Ryan Shea (2 G), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-112:53
1-119:12
2nd period
2-117:00
3rd period
2-20:57
2-33:31
3-34:21
4-311:26
5-319:53
Penalties
1st
- 14:24
Matt Rempe · Interferencedrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
- 17:41
Kris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
2nd
- 4:45
Urho Vaakanainen · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
- 12:26
Will Cuylle · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Adam Fox, 3rd 11:26 — 48% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.8
- 1.23 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 0.01 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.5
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 3.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 16
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 29
- Hits
- 11
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 16
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
