Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 9:53 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 22, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 2 A), 3. Reilly Smith (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Panarin2 G, 1 A

- ★★V. Trocheck1 G, 2 A

- ★★★R. Smith1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-06:19
1-17:28
1-219:58
3rd period
2-28:29
2-39:53
2-418:22
Penalties
1st
- 12:15
Artemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
2nd
- 1:02
Vincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 4:06
Alexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
- 4:06
Blake Lizotte · Interferencedrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
- 12:39
Marcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
- 16:08
Sam Carrick · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
3rd
- 4:39
Ryan Shea · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 6:18
Zac Jones · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 10:36
Anthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 9:53 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.32 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.5
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.2
- 1.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.46
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 14
- Hits
- 19
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 14
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
