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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNSUN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 1:05 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were TBL 21, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 11 of 12 (.917). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brendan Gallagher (2 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL262817521
MTLMTL11319113335

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(16)
    B. Hagel (35)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:56
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)
    G. Goncalves (6), A. Cirelli (22)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:28
  3. MTL
    B. Gallagher(13)PPG
    A. Newhook (8), M. Matheson (21)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:53

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(31)PPG
    J. Guentzel (26), V. Hedman (36)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:05
  2. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(1)
    C. Atkinson (4), M. Eyssimont (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:43
  3. MTL
    C. Dvorak(6)
    D. Savard (10), J. Slafkovský (22)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:45

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(14)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:19
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(20)EN
    J. Guentzel (27), B. Hagel (36)
    snapxG 0.85win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:44

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:08TBLDarren Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 3:08MTLPatrik Laine · Holding the stickdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min
  • 16:19TBLVictor Hedman · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Josh Anderson0 min
  • 17:04TBLDarren Raddysh · High stickingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 19:22MTLMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 3:14TBLLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 1:05 — TBL 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.19M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.12K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.10D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
3.24 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL32%68%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
21
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
29
25
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112-120.31160—23:50
38B. HagelL022+210.41310—23:12
27R. McDonaghD000+300.02100—22:10
81E. CernakD000+330.02210—20:52
71A. CirelliC112+110.851203618:50
59J. GuentzelC022+130.22030018:43
20N. PaulL101+110.311102518:22
48N. PerbixD000-100.00210—18:22
21B. PointC101+120.331306418:18
43D. RaddyshD000020.06204—17:30
78E. LillebergD000010.01230—15:58
93G. GoncalvesC011020.35110015:21
28Z. GirgensonsC101+120.243103614:39
11L. GlendeningC000-100.001026911:43
23M. EyssimontC011+100.00210010:37
13C. AtkinsonR011+100.00010—09:50
53D. DukeL000-100.00300—08:05
41M. ChaffeeR000-110.12000—07:49
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)35323.9143.64+0.6460:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).