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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Evans's goal at 17:45 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 35, MTL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Evans (1 G), 2. Samuel Montembeault (33 saves, .943), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL11119015235
MTLMTL052918322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(22)
    A. Cirelli (20), E. Lilleberg (11)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:20

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(24)
    M. Eyssimont (3)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:45
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(7)PPG
    P. Laine (4), L. Hutson (36)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:32
  3. MTL
    A. Newhook(9)
    P. Laine (5)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:21

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Evans(11)
    J. Armia (14), A. Carrier (15)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +41 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:45

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:43MTLMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:25MTLLane Hutson · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 18:12TBLNick Perbix · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 19:54MTLChristian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

2nd

  • 4:54TBLConor Geekie · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 12:55MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Evans, 3rd 17:45 — MTL 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.43J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.37C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.19K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.18J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.14J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
4.22 G
All situations
3 G2.7
3.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL83%17%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.15 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
35
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
11
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86N. KucherovR101+140.63100—26:55
43D. RaddyshD000-120.04110—24:05
77V. HedmanD000-130.10140—23:48
38B. HagelL000+130.38110—22:49
71A. CirelliC011+130.720105021:29
21B. PointC000-150.880105819:55
27R. McDonaghD000+100.00100—18:46
65M. CrozierD000+110.00320—18:41
59J. GuentzelC101050.620102518:17
20N. PaulL000020.031005617:31
78E. LillebergD011010.14000—14:19
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.04400012:51
48N. PerbixD000010.01002—12:07
23M. EyssimontC011020.24220011:21
14C. GeekieC000010.11002011:09
41M. ChaffeeR000-100.0820010010:17
11L. GlendeningC000010.161105007:44
13C. AtkinsonR000-100.00010—07:09
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)22193.8641.91-1.0958:09

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).