Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1. The Lightning scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Landon Slaggert's goal at 18:14 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were CHI 21, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Arvid Soderblom (34 saves, .971), 2. Connor Bedard (1 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Soderblom34 saves, .971

- ★★C. Bedard1 G

- ★★★B. Point1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-13:34
2nd period
1-110:19
2-118:14
3rd period
3-18:02
4-119:03
Penalties
1st
- 12:42
Nick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
- 12:42
Seth Jones · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
- 12:42
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
- 12:42
Zemgus Girgensons · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
- 12:42
Nick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons5 min
- 16:17
Patrick Maroon · Boardingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
- 16:17
Patrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
2nd
- 8:00
Nikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
- 8:24
Erik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
3rd
- 14:00
Connor Bedard · Trippingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
- 14:00
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 14:00
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 14:00
Tyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Landon Slaggert, 2nd 18:14 — 47% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.53 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.8
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 3.68
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 17
- Hits
- 11
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 18
- Giveaways
- 25
- 5
- Takeaways
- 0
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
3OTFinal
4@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
