Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Nikita Kucherov scoring at 0:58. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were TBL 40, CHI 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 1.4 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 36 of 40 (.900). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Louis Crevier (1 G), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A

- ★★L. Crevier1 G

- ★★★J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-010:59
1-116:29
1-218:47
2nd period
1-34:59
2-319:52
3rd period
3-319:18
Overtime
4-30:58
Penalties
1st
- 10:35
Colton Dach · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min
2nd
- 2:55
Darren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
- 14:12
Nikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
3rd
- 17:34
Alec Martinez · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
- 19:56
Teuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, OT 0:58 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.64 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.7
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 1.03 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 1.65
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 14
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 3/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 17
- Hits
- 17
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 18
- Giveaways
- 13
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
3OTthis game
4@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
