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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWIX·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Barron's goal at 17:54 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 19, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Cole Perfetti (1 G, 2 A), 3. Neal Pionk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN060607019
WPGWPG2101727524

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:51
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.41win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:54

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    2:07
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.06Video
    0-5
    7:36

Penalties

MIN 12 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:32WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 6:45MINJon Merrill · Holding the stickdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 7:26MINKirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 14:22WPGDylan DeMelo · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 14:22MINKirill Kaprizov · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 19:05WPGColin Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 5:05MINJesper Wallstedt · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:30WPGNikolaj Ehlers · High stickingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:10WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 3:50MINBrendan Gaunce · Trippingdrawn by Ville Heinola2 min
  • 5:29MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Barron, 1st 17:54 — WPG 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.41K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.15D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.15C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.14A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.14M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.04V. Heinola · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01V. Heinola · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 2.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.30 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN38%62%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
7
14
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-110.02010—23:45
46J. SpurgeonD000-210.09212—21:23
25J. BrodinD000-110.01020—21:22
12M. BoldyL000-110.58000—20:09
97K. KaprizovL000-130.28104—19:56
24Z. BogosianD000-110.01240—18:26
36M. ZuccarelloR000030.26020—18:00
23M. RossiC000-110.641004617:59
90M. JohanssonL000-110.02110—16:04
17M. FolignoL000-100.00300—15:49
4J. MerrillD000000.00102—14:50
89F. GaudreauC000-110.031005614:40
22M. KhusnutdinovC000010.070007514:20
38R. HartmanR000-110.030002513:57
47D. ChisholmD000-200.01020—12:48
21B. GaunceC000-120.090025010:28
19D. ShoreC000010.06000009:52
72T. BoydC000000.06010008:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)24195.7922.91-2.0959:44

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).