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Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Wild scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 12:05 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 32, MIN 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (43 saves, .977), 2. Alex Iafallo (2 G), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck43 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Iafallo2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG17113212432
MINMIN12201705144

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:37
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:03

2nd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:05

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:20
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:57

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 15:32WPGGabriel Vilardi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:00MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:00WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 19:00MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 7:32WPGHaydn Fleury · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 9:49MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 12:29MINMarcus Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Ville Heinola2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 2nd 12:05 — WPG 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.24J. Middleton · Goal · xG 0.19M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.18F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
2.53 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG37%63%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
44
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.01020—25:02
4N. PionkD022030.04210—22:54
2D. DeMeloD000+220.04210—20:42
81K. ConnorL011+130.31000—19:36
24H. FleuryD000000.00052—18:14
13G. VilardiC000040.320225718:07
55M. ScheifeleC011030.21322017:22
17A. LowryC101+140.480104417:03
6C. MillerD000+110.04000—16:40
91C. PerfettiC011010.01100015:19
27N. EhlersL000-120.42000—14:32
22M. AppletonC000030.11100013:46
62N. NiederreiterR101+110.19110—13:28
9A. IafalloL202+220.13020—13:13
36M. BarronC000+100.05100013:03
15R. KupariC011+100.133006713:00
14V. HeinolaD000020.02100—12:14
7V. NamestnikovC011+100.001003311:45
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)44431.9772.95+1.9560:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).