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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV FDSNOH, FDSNSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 1:28 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (1 G, 2 A), 2. Luke Glendening (1 G), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Paul1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    L. Glendening1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ05010317332
TBLTBL11131517533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    L. Glendening(2)
    N. Perbix (6), E. Lilleberg (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:21

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:28
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(18)
    N. Paul (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:36
  3. TBL
    M. Chaffee(6)PPG
    N. Paul (10), B. Hagel (21)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    14:18

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Pyyhtia(2)
    S. Kuraly (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:23
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(6)
    K. Marchenko (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:05
  3. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(6)PPG
    D. Voronkov (6), K. Marchenko (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:11
  4. TBL
    B. Point(21)EN
    N. Kucherov (33), J. Guentzel (15)
    wristxG 0.80win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:51

Penalties

CBJ 19 PIM·TBL 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:21TBLNick Perbix · Trippingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 3:08TBLConor Geekie · Kneeingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 9:53TBLBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 9:53CBJCole Sillinger · Instigatordrawn by Conor Geekie2 min
  • 9:53CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:53TBLConor Geekie · Roughingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 9:53CBJCole Sillinger · Fightingdrawn by Conor Geekie5 min
  • 9:53CBJCole Sillinger · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 18:49TBLMichael Eyssimont · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

3rd

  • 1:31TBLLuke Glendening · Holdingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 12:38TBLRyan McDonagh · Cross checkingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 1:28 — TBL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.80N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.24J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.16M. Chaffee · Goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.15L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.12C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.12M. Chaffee · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.07G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 3.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/2
19
Penalty minutes
14
24
Hits
16
5
Blocked shots
22
18
Giveaways
27
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000020.16000—30:12
9I. ProvorovD000-300.03010—26:05
23S. MonahanC000-260.660004822:00
91K. JohnsonC000-220.10010021:59
78D. SeversonD000-110.11110—21:20
86K. MarchenkoR022+160.62200—20:54
10D. VoronkovL011+120.0200010019:34
19A. FantilliC101+120.171003618:23
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.09510—15:36
24M. OlivierR000020.05402—15:04
7S. KuralyC011010.026004714:28
21J. van RiemsdykL000-110.03000—14:22
2J. ChristiansenD000010.05300—12:31
22J. HarrisD000+100.00000—12:19
4C. SillingerC101-220.3600174209:22
15D. FabbroD000-110.01110—09:11
82M. PyyhtiaL101010.06100—08:37
62K. LabancR000-210.03000—05:20
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)32284.8753.04-0.9657:43

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).