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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
6
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸7
Final/OTTV FDSNOH, FDSNSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-6 in overtime, Zach Werenski scoring at 1:26. The Blue Jackets came back from three goals down. It was tied 5-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Werenski's goal at 1:26 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were TBL 30, CBJ 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 36 of 43 (.837), 3.0 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (2 G, 3 A), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 3 A), 3. Kent Johnson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    S. Monahan1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    K. Johnson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL3122131401630
CBJCBJ1842211211743

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(11)PPG
    N. Kucherov (16), J. Guentzel (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:51
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(9)
    N. Kucherov (17), A. Cirelli (13)
    snapxG 0.44win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:58
  3. TBL
    C. Atkinson(1)
    V. Hedman (14), M. Chaffee (3)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:52
  4. CBJ
    S. Monahan(7)
    D. Voronkov (2), D. Severson (5)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:35

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(4)
    S. Monahan (10), Z. Werenski (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:28
  2. CBJ
    K. Johnson(3)PPG
    Z. Werenski (12), K. Marchenko (11)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:55
  3. TBL
    M. Chaffee(5)
    C. Geekie (3)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:11
  4. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(5)
    K. Marchenko (12), S. Monahan (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-4
    3:42
  5. CBJ
    E. Chinakhov(6)
    C. Sillinger (8), M. Olivier (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-5
    5:26
  6. TBL
    A. Cirelli(6)
    B. Hagel (10), N. Kucherov (18)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-5
    6:18

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Johnson(4)SHG
    Z. Werenski (13), S. Monahan (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +35 ptsVideo
    5-6
    10:39
  2. TBL
    C. Geekie(3)PPG
    G. Goncalves (1), J. Moser (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +30 ptsVideo
    6-6
    11:23

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(6)
    C. Sillinger (9), I. Provorov (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    6-7
    1:26

Penalties

TBL 2 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:24CBJIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 1:06TBLJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

3rd

  • 9:37CBJSean Kuraly · Holdingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Werenski, OT 1:26 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.33M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.23J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.22K. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.20M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.17K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.16D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.16D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.14D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.10D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.09J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ7 G · 4.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.16 G
All situations
7 G4.0
2.64 G
Even strength
5 G3.6
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL36%64%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 3.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
30
Shots on goal
43
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
28
32
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38B. HagelL112030.92120—23:39
71A. CirelliC112020.210305423:34
90J. MoserD011+110.00112—23:28
86N. KucherovR033-160.60100—23:01
77V. HedmanD011-200.00180—22:47
27R. McDonaghD000-100.00040—21:07
81E. CernakD000030.04020—20:44
48N. PerbixD000010.09130—16:34
59J. GuentzelC011-310.091107516:22
21B. PointC101-310.130205015:42
41M. ChaffeeR112+120.43300—15:37
93G. GoncalvesC011-200.00300014:24
78E. LillebergD000020.03210—14:06
14C. GeekieC112+130.182104413:35
13C. AtkinsonR101+120.09010—12:26
11L. GlendeningC000010.140208009:25
23M. EyssimontC000010.04110009:01
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.07400008:50
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(O)43367.8373.99-3.0160:33

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).