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Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 16:58 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 63% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were SEA 25, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Ilya Sorokin stopped 9 of 13 (.692), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vince Dunn (1 G, 2 A), 2. Adam Larsson (3 A), 3. Tye Kartye (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    A. Larsson3 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    T. Kartye1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA2825112525
NYINYI0906214229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:48
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:58

2nd period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:55
  2. SEA
    S. Wright(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:05

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.05Video
    4-1
    11:57
  2. NYI
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:37
  3. SEA
    backhandxG 0.57win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:20

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:00NYIScott Mayfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 7:58SEAYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 11:25NYINoah Dobson · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 17:04SEABrandon Montour · High sticking double minordrawn by Casey Cizikas4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalSEA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 1st 16:58 — SEA 63% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.21B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.16K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.02B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNYI
3.04 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA53%47%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNYI
25
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
24
19
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24J. OleksiakD000-110.01130—23:26
6A. LarssonD033+310.08240—21:42
9C. StephensonC011+110.270004421:03
29V. DunnD123+220.10110—20:08
62B. MontourD011-210.05004—19:42
19J. McCannL000020.15020—18:27
10M. BeniersC011-110.29000817:34
13B. TanevL011010.01510—16:59
17J. SchwartzL101010.77000—16:34
3W. BorgenD000000.00210—15:56
28J. MahuraD000000.00340—15:42
22O. BjorkstrandR101020.16100—14:47
26R. WintertonC000030.08200013:31
20E. TolvanenR000040.25000—13:00
51S. WrightC101020.270104012:06
37Y. GourdeC000+100.011026711:52
12T. KartyeL101+120.39520—11:31
67M. StephensC000+110.060006410:00
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(W)29272.9312.24+0.2460:00

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).