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New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Oleksiak's goal at 16:47 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.7, SEA 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 24, SEA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Joey Daccord stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Oleksiak (1 G), 2. Jared McCann (1 G), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Oleksiak1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    Y. Gourde1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1901015224
SEASEA1120629327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    deflectedxG 0.73win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:10
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:38

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(7)SHG
    wristxG 0.27win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:49
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:26
  3. SEA
    slapxG 0.01win prob +41 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:47

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·SEA 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:07NYINoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 12:25NYIKyle Palmieri · Holdingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 17:19SEAJaden Schwartz · Holdingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

3rd

  • 3:07NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Hookingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 16:47NYIserved by M. Tsyplakov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNYI goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Oleksiak, 3rd 16:47 — SEA 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.73Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.30J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSEA
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI52%48%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSEA
24
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
9
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011-120.09000—24:38
8N. DobsonD011010.17142—23:03
24S. MayfieldD000020.10110—21:37
44J. PageauC000000.042106921:07
14B. HorvatC000020.400107820:20
21K. PalmieriC011-110.20012020:15
29B. NelsonC101-140.451106320:09
36I. GeorgeD000-200.00010—18:40
27A. LeeL000020.23000—17:41
10S. HolmstromR000010.18020—16:56
7M. TsyplakovR000-230.30022—16:45
34G. HuttonD000010.03000—15:28
25D. CholowskiD011+110.07010—14:03
18P. EngvallL101010.27000—12:37
53C. CizikasC000020.121003811:06
26O. WahlstromR000000.03100—07:09
32K. MacLeanC000000.001104406:52
17M. MartinL000010.01100—04:56
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)27243.8892.57-0.4358:38

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).