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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MNMT, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 6-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Raddysh's goal at 13:54 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 32, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.0 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Carlson (3 A), 2. Rasmus Sandin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brett Pesce (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Carlson3 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    R. Sandin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    B. Pesce1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11731025632
NJDNJD1518314527

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.39win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:19
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:54

2nd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:38
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.27win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:49
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:56
  4. WSH
    R. Sandin(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:47

3rd period

  1. NJD
    S. Noesen(12)PPG
    J. Hughes (19), J. Bratt (20)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:03
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.36win prob +27 ptsVideo
    4-4
    4:15
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +38 ptsVideo
    5-4
    13:54
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    6-4
    14:04
  5. NJD
    S. Noesen(13)PPG
    T. Meier (11), J. Hughes (21)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +6 ptsVideo
    6-5
    16:45

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·NJD 14 PIM

1st

  • 11:33WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 11:33NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 14:22NJDPaul Cotter · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 17:55WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 18:02NJDJesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 8:04NJDPaul Cotter · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 8:04WSHJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 8:49NJDDawson Mercer · High sticking double minordrawn by Dylan Strome4 min
  • 17:48NJDLuke Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 0:52WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 15:10WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Taylor Raddysh, 3rd 13:54 — WSH 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.37J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.37T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.20S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.17D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.11L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dowling · Goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD5 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.76 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.33 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH60%40%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
32
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/5
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
14
5
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD033-150.57010—23:41
42M. FehérváryD011-100.04010—20:32
6J. ChychrunD101-110.10002—19:49
43T. WilsonR000-120.292025019:09
24C. McMichaelL101-130.58000—18:43
38R. SandinD112+210.19010—18:26
3M. RoyD000+230.17020—18:12
80P. DuboisC112+130.340025016:56
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.02020—15:41
17D. StromeC000-120.180005615:26
21A. ProtasL011020.18000—15:22
88A. MangiapaneL101+130.5801010014:36
26N. DowdC000030.292024114:29
16T. RaddyshR112+110.0700010014:24
22B. DuhaimeL000010.0601010013:19
20L. EllerC011000.000026012:42
29H. LapierreC011+100.00020010:09
63I. MiroshnichenkoL011-110.01100—09:38
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)27225.8152.95-2.0560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).