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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, MSGSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Cotter's goal at 13:38 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 33, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Charlie Lindgren stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Cotter (2 G), 2. Erik Haula (3 A), 3. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    P. Cotter2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    E. Haula3 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21221318533
WSHWSH11219111332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:48
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:42
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:24

2nd period

  1. WSH
    pokexG 0.33win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:32
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.45win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:56
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:38

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:35
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.81win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:52

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:51WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 4:50WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 10:38NJDTimo Meier · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

2nd

  • 9:50WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 9:50NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 16:42NJDPaul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min

3rd

  • 3:15WSHNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 4:56NJDJesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 9:22WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Cotter, 2nd 13:38 — NJD 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.55D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.33D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.19S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.10M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.06T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
32
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.06130—23:15
8J. KovacevicD000-120.17202—22:43
7D. HamiltonD000+340.10110—22:07
5B. DillonD000+300.01330—21:36
91D. MercerC101010.80110019:55
13N. HischierC011030.080004418:40
56E. HaulaL033+220.351007517:15
86J. HughesC000+120.310105017:13
63J. BrattL011+100.01102—14:37
17S. NemecD000+130.09000—14:35
28T. MeierR011+100.00122—14:27
90T. TatarL112+140.69000—13:57
11S. NoesenR033+210.13100—13:30
18O. PalatL000020.05200—13:12
47P. CotterL202+140.45212—13:10
14N. BastianR000020.11220—13:04
42C. LazarC000010.070007111:18
24S. CaseyD101+110.07110—09:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)32293.9062.75-0.2559:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).