Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Lucas Raymond scoring at 3:35. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 3:35 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 25, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Zary (1 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Raymond1 G, 1 A

- ★★A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Zary1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-16:33
3rd period
1-117:12
Overtime
1-23:35
Penalties
1st
- 6:01
Matt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
- 7:08
Jonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
- 9:59
Jonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
- 10:26
Dylan Larkin · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
2nd
- 15:30
Ben Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
3rd
- 7:03
Moritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
- 15:20
Dylan Larkin · Delaying game face off violation2 min
OT
- 3:06
served by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lucas Raymond, OT 3:35 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.1
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.48
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 11
- Hits
- 17
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 12
- Giveaways
- 21
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 2-0
1@
2OTthis game
3@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
