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Utah Hockey Club at Predators
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 11:58 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were UTA 27, NSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.9 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Roman Josi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA04010013027
NSHNSH2121514421

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(7)PPG
    R. Josi (8), J. Parssinen (2)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:37
  2. NSH
    J. Marchessault(3)PPG
    R. Josi (9), S. Stamkos (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:58

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(8)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    11:05

3rd period

  1. NSH
    G. Nyquist(5)EN
    J. Marchessault (6)
    tip-inxG 0.44Video
    0-4
    18:15

Penalties

UTA 13 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:11UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 8:48UTALogan Cooley · Hookingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 8:48UTAOlli Maatta · High sticking double minordrawn by Gustav Nyquist4 min

2nd

  • 18:43NSHMichael McCarron · Hookingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min

3rd

  • 3:58NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Maveric Lamoureux2 min
  • 19:35NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 19:35UTALawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalUTA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 1st 11:58 — NSH 70% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.44R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.27R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.23F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.20M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsNSH
2.10 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA51%49%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
21
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
18
Hits
35
9
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-110.12120—25:39
9C. KellerR000-200.10100—18:55
28I. ColeD000030.03020—18:36
11D. GuentherR000-100.02000—18:34
7M. KesselringD000-150.19100—18:00
2O. MaattaD000-110.03014—17:49
8N. SchmaltzC000-130.2920010017:35
4J. VälimäkiD000010.01100—17:29
15A. KerfootC000-120.290022216:46
63M. MaccelliL000-110.10200—16:36
10M. LamoureuxD000010.08100—16:22
92L. CooleyC000-130.310022916:04
82K. StenlundC000010.090107814:00
67L. CrouseL000010.18305—13:39
27B. HaytonC000-100.020202513:38
17N. BjugstadC000010.030005012:08
53M. CarconeL000020.13200—12:07
22J. McBainC000010.084107512:03
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)20173.8502.09-0.9157:24

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).