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Penguins at Hurricanes
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, SN-PIT·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 8:47 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 36, CAR 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 13 of 18 (.722), 3.3 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jalen Chatfield (3 A), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Roslovic2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT010016110136
CARCAR242915518

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    J. Staal (1), J. Chatfield (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:52
  2. CAR
    J. Roslovic(8)
    S. Aho (8), D. Orlov (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:47

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Roslovic(9)
    A. Svechnikov (8), J. Chatfield (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:27
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(1)
    S. Aho (9), J. Roslovic (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    13:52

3rd period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(3)
    M. Necas (14), J. Chatfield (4)
    snapxG 0.16Video
    0-5
    2:07
  2. PIT
    B. Lizotte(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15Video
    1-5
    5:08

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:28CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Graves4 min

2nd

  • 1:13CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 5:43PITMichael Bunting · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 7:06CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPIT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 1st 8:47 — CAR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.19E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.16E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.11W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kochetkov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCAR
3.61 G
All situations
5 G1.7
2.31 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT78%22%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCAR
36
Shots on goal
18
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000050.29310—24:20
24M. GrzelcykD000020.04110—23:22
71E. MalkinC000-140.65110022:50
67R. RakellR000-150.62200—22:00
87S. CrosbyC000-140.502005221:38
65E. KarlssonD000-320.21020—19:49
28M. PetterssonD000-300.04230—19:17
8M. BuntingL000020.32502—17:39
10D. O'ConnorL000-310.03220—16:08
18J. PuljujarviR000020.16200—15:21
27R. GravesD000-110.03110—14:48
5R. SheaD000-100.00100—14:18
55N. AcciariC000-140.353105514:12
20L. EllerC000-300.000005712:58
72A. BeauvillierR000010.10200—12:56
46B. LizotteC101020.200003012:25
48V. PuustinenR000000.00100—09:16
19C. GlassC000-210.02000004:47
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)18135.7221.73-3.2759:56

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).