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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
4
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-4. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 17:58 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 24, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 4.1 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathieu Olivier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Damon Severson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    D. Severson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF04310110424
CBJCBJ292927625

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    E. Chinakhov(2)PPG
    Z. Werenski (1), K. Johnson (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:12
  2. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:28

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(2)
    J. Zucker (4), J. Greenway (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:34
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(2)
    Z. Werenski (2), I. Provorov (1)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:18
  3. BUF
    J.Kulich(1)
    D. Cozens (1), H. Jokiharju (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:29
  4. CBJ
    M. Olivier(1)
    C. Sillinger (2), J. Christiansen (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:58
  5. BUF
    O. Power(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    19:35

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Aston-Reese(1)
    J. Christiansen (3), M. Olivier (1)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    0:15
  2. CBJ
    D. Severson(1)
    K. Marchenko (4)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-6
    8:10
  3. BUF
    J. Peterka(3)
    T. Thompson (1), R. Dahlin (2)
    slapxG 0.18
    4-6
    17:51

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:26BUFConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 7:09BUFDylan Cozens · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 16:58CBJMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min

2nd

  • 0:52BUFAlex Tuch · Hookingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 5:28CBJIvan Provorov · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 17:58 — CBJ 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.24D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.19E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.15M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.12E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.07M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.04K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.00C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ6 G · 1.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
2.64 G
All situations
6 G1.9
1.24 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF63%37%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
24
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011010.13100—26:51
25O. PowerD101-220.16110—21:39
4B. ByramD000-100.02000—21:24
77J. PeterkaR101030.43000—20:51
72T. ThompsonC011020.100103820:42
10H. JokiharjuD011+110.01120—20:11
89A. TuchR000-200.210225017:42
71R. McLeodC101+120.220003816:54
24D. CozensC011+230.561026916:47
17J. ZuckerL011+110.01110—16:43
12J. GreenwayL011-100.21400—14:46
20J.KulichC101+150.32000014:45
9Z. BensonL000010.09010—14:37
23M. SamuelssonD000-110.04000—13:56
75C. CliftonD000010.03302—11:33
19P. KrebsC000-100.003007109:57
81S. LaffertyC000-100.00000009:37
29B. MalenstynL000-110.06300—08:59
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(L)25196.7601.88-4.1257:20

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).