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Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
5
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-5 in overtime, Sidney Crosby scoring at 1:38. The Penguins came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 1:38 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 33, PIT 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 37 of 43 (.860), 0.6 goals below expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 3 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF3901021400533
PITPIT11321121811643

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(3)
    A. Tuch (3)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:43
  2. BUF
    J. Greenway(2)
    J. Zucker (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:08
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(1)PPG
    E. Malkin (7), S. Crosby (4)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:01
  4. BUF
    J. Peterka(1)
    B. Byram (2), A. Tuch (4)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    11:33

2nd period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(2)SHG
    N. Acciari (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:12
  2. PIT
    J. Puljujarvi(1)
    L. Eller (1), D. O'Connor (1)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(2)
    S. Crosby (5)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:26
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(2)
    H. Jokiharju (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +31 pts
    4-4
    10:16
  3. BUF
    R. McLeod(1)
    B. Byram (3), J. Zucker (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    5-4
    10:56
  4. PIT
    R. Rakell(3)
    B. Rust (1), E. Malkin (8)
    backhandxG 0.58win prob +46 ptsVideo
    5-5
    19:14

Overtime

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(1)PPG
    E. Karlsson (3), E. Malkin (9)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    1:38

Penalties

BUF 12 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:00BUFRyan McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

2nd

  • 7:30PITMarcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 8:18BUFJason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 8:37PITMatt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 9:12BUFserved by J. Peterka · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:53BUFAlex Tuch · Interferencedrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 1:23BUFZach Benson · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

OT

  • 0:43BUFTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, OT 1:38 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.58B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.55E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.50B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.27E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.23B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.21J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.20C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.19S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.18M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT6 G · 5.4 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
2.75 G
All situations
6 G5.4
2.45 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.00 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF17%83%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 4.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
43
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
23
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000+150.19110—24:58
10H. JokiharjuD011+310.03010—21:09
23M. SamuelssonD000-110.01410—20:27
89A. TuchR022+250.281322019:28
25O. PowerD000020.11020—19:08
4B. ByramD022+100.00100—18:51
77J. PeterkaR202+340.6200010018:48
12J. GreenwayL101+120.08310—18:37
72T. ThompsonC101+230.571123718:34
75C. CliftonD000-100.00210—17:32
71R. McLeodC101+120.051023716:45
24D. CozensC000-230.200002715:51
17J. ZuckerL022+110.021125015:27
22J. QuinnR000-210.18000—12:27
9Z. BensonL000-230.2011210010:28
19P. KrebsC000-100.011007509:44
29B. MalenstynL000000.04240—08:59
81S. LaffertyC000000.092003308:40
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(O)43376.8605.36-0.6461:38

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).