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Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Appleton's goal at 18:35 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 20, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 8 of 13 (.615), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Mason Appleton (1 G, 2 A), 3. Josh Morrissey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Appleton1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG283715620
EDMEDM0901407030

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:56
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:35

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:17
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.01win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    4:37
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    9:33

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.09Video
    6-0
    14:15

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:04EDMTy Emberson · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 18:23WPGKyle Connor · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 10:55EDMDerek Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:40EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Mason Appleton, 1st 18:35 — WPG 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.25V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.23V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM0 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
2.06 G
All situations
0 G2.5
1.84 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG39%61%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
20
Shots on goal
30
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
20
29
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022+210.05030—23:39
54D. SambergD101+210.02010—23:21
2D. DeMeloD000+200.00050—19:33
4N. PionkD011+210.02120—19:20
55M. ScheifeleC112040.590102518:34
81K. ConnorL101010.28032—17:59
13G. VilardiC011000.0001010017:26
24H. FleuryD000010.00140—16:15
22M. AppletonC123+330.54210016:11
17A. LowryC112+330.181004016:01
62N. NiederreiterR022+310.0212010015:52
6C. MillerD000000.00010—15:17
9A. IafalloL000+100.00110—14:03
27N. EhlersL011000.00000—13:52
91C. PerfettiC000010.01110013:38
36M. BarronC011+110.06100012:28
15R. KupariC101+120.210106012:16
7V. NamestnikovC000000.002203312:15
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)303001.0002.55+2.5560:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).