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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV ESPN, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Sam Reinhart scoring at 1:12. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 1:12 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 23, FLA 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (21 saves, .913), 3. Igor Shesterkin (37 saves, .925).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky21 saves, .913
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin37 saves, .925

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR113051500223
FLAFLA01121401312340

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:51

2nd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:45
  2. FLA
    batxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:16

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (7), A. Panarin (10)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:28

Overtime

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.11win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:12

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:20NYRErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 7:07FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 16:03FLABrandon Montour · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 6:42NYRRyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 10:59NYRBarclay Goodrow · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:36FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

OT

  • 0:59NYRBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, OT 1:12 — FLA 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.22S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.20K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.04K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR29%71%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
23
Shots on goal
40
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
47
Hits
43
28
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-100.00240—23:00
8J. TroubaD000-110.02440—22:53
23A. FoxD022+110.12310—22:39
93M. ZibanejadC000-160.591106021:06
16V. TrocheckC101+140.294006120:33
91A. WennbergC000-100.001702519:46
20C. KreiderL000000.07320—19:23
4B. SchneiderD000000.01240—17:04
55R. LindgrenD000-110.01102—16:36
10A. PanarinL022+110.14100—16:06
13A. LafrenièreL101+130.61300—15:50
56E. GustafssonD000+120.04102—15:27
50W. CuylleL000000.04300—15:06
24K. KakkoR000000.02600—14:42
96J. RoslovicC000020.13110012:25
21B. GoodrowC000010.013124012:19
17B. WheelerR000000.0042210009:18
73M. RempeC000010.06410006:17
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)40373.9253.42+0.4261:12

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).