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Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 8:58 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 25, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT090907025
NYRNYR113111210434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:55

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(17)SHG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:58

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Lindgren (14), A. Fox (56)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:34
  2. NYR
    0-4
    13:00

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:10OTTJiri Smejkal · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

2nd

  • 7:03NYRKaapo Kakko · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 13:11OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

3rd

  • 13:46NYRMatt Rempe · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 15:31OTTRidly Greig · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jimmy Vesey0 min
  • 17:16OTTBrady Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, 2nd 8:58 — NYR 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.29C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.27J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.27A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.25C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.17A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.15J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.12E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
1.80 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT20%80%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-140.13110—23:05
85J. SandersonD000-100.00020—21:14
7B. TkachukL000-110.284025020:43
26E. BrannstromD000020.27120—20:06
57S. PintoC000-110.192102519:18
21M. JosephR000010.11000—19:17
28C. GirouxR000020.220105818:54
2A. ZubD000-110.01112—18:54
6J. ChychrunD000-320.04120—18:52
19D. BathersonR000-140.36100—18:45
71R. GreigC000-120.040106318:19
27P. KellyC000-220.0811010016:48
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-220.05320—16:04
13J. SmejkalL000-300.001022512:31
14B. KatchoukL000-210.04100—12:28
17Z. MacEwenR000000.011008207:58
81D. KubalikL000-100.00100—06:55
20B. ImamaL000000.00210—03:49
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)34304.8823.87-0.1360:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).