New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zac Jones's goal at 9:12 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 43% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 29, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (29 saves, .935), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Quick29 saves, .935

- ★★A. Panarin1 G, 2 A

- ★★★A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-111:43
2nd period
0-21:24
1-25:51
2-28:33
3-29:12
4-211:16
5-216:54
3rd period
6-217:17
7-217:52
Penalties
1st
- 14:30
Barclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
- 14:30
Mark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
- 17:23
Drake Batherson · High stickingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
2nd
- 1:15
Mika Zibanejad · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 4:58
Brady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min
- 4:58
Connor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
- 8:27
Mathieu Joseph · Embellishment2 min
- 8:27
Blake Wheeler · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
- 18:05
Artem Zub · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 10:04
Artem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
- 17:17
Jakob Chychrun · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zac Jones, 2nd 9:12 — 43% → 62%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.86 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 1.96 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.0
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 28
- 29
- Hits
- 26
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 8
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
